Us elections: reading for election-heads
A little light reading for election night: scientific papers on the very unscientific business of electing leaders:
This paper asks the question: would you vote for yourself if you didn't know it was you? "Transformed Facial Similarity as a Political Cue: A Preliminary Investigation"
This paper does an experiment to show how enthusiasm and fear in political ads might prove contagious: "Striking a Responsive Chord: How Political Ads Motivate and Persuade Voters by Appealing to Emotions"
Here's a technical treatise on predicting two-stage elections. "Modeling voter choice to predict the final outcome of two-stage elections"
This comment explores the idea that if it is harder to vote, you end up with a different kind of voter pool. "Barriers to Participation, Voter Sophistication and Candidate Spending Choices in US Senate Elections"
And here's a model of why midterm elections tend to boost party that doesn't hold the Whitehouse. "Loss aversion, presidential responsibility, and midterm congressional elections"
Happy election night!