Nature India partners with ICRISAT for InterDrought-V

Cover InterDrought-VNature India is proud to be associated with the International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT) as media partner for the fifth edition of the InterDrought conference being held in Hyderabad (February 21-25, 2017).

The conference brings togther experts from across the world to debate key issues in improving drought and other stress tolerance in crops. Scientists from around 56 countries will come together to explore the possibilities of scientific and technological applications in crop improvement.

ICRISAT Director General David Bergvinson says the conference will bring together the disciplines of plant and crop physiology, genomics, genetics and breeding. It will talk about recent advances in these fields related to plant responses to water deficit and climate change, phenotyping and genetic variability.

According to the conference chair Rajeev Varshney this is the largest conference in the InterDrought series with 850 participants from 56 countries. Earlier conferences in the series habe been held in France, Italy, China and Australia.

Nature India put together this cover for the abstract book depicting the three important elements of the drought story — the starkness of drought, its deep impact on humans and the science-driven solution to meet the challenge — drought-resilient crop varieties.

Here’s Nature India‘s editorial for the conference abstract book:

Looking for a Plan C in water-scarce times

An issue that stirs emotions among scientists, policy makers and the general public alike is ‘water’. Or, in the present times, the lack thereof.

In these water-scarce times, in India, as in many other parts of the world, the issue of groundwater depletion is a subject of concern and serious study. And so, apart from the parched patches that the world inherited from the 20th century, we are looking at times of new aridity triggered by plummeting groundwater tables. It’s actually a vicious circle – news studies are now suggesting that excessive pumping of water for agriculture may not be the reason behind the plunging groundwater levels after all. Long-term changes in monsoon rainfall could instead be influencing this, and that in turn is forcing farmers to dig deeper for water.

Why this preamble on water? Especially when water-scarcity is an issue almost embedded in the DNA of scientists attending InterDrought conferences.

Essentially because it’s nice to take a step back once a while and look at the larger canvas. For scientists and technologists working on a Plan B to counter drought – that is, to still be able to grow nutritionally-rich, drought-resistant crops – these conferences are a wonderful reminder of the big picture. Interestingly, InterDrought-V is hoping to be the largest such congregation in recent times with over 850 scientists from around 56 countries. This provides a canvas bigger than ever before to create new milestones, fortify strategies that have worked so far, and solemnly bury the ones that don’t work so well in the changing climate scenarios.

The Nature Research Group devotes significant energies to the coverage of the “Grand Challenges”, which include our coverage of climate, water and food – issues that resonate well with InterDrought-V. Nature India, a showcase of India’s science, is proud to be associated with the conference as its media partner. We hope that the conference, bringing together the who’s who of the discipline from across the world, will identify issues and concerns to evolve a futuristic Plan C for drought-friendly agriculture.

Hunger games: food security on stage and screen

Metta Theatre's production of Lydia Adetunji's play Bread on the Table, Trafalgar Studios, London.

Metta Theatre’s production of Lydia Adetunji’s Bread on the Table juxtaposes food commodity trading and starvation in poorer countries.{credit}Richard Davenport{/credit}

A Nigerian farmer feeds her last cow to a man who pays with his life. A biologist in an agribusiness-dominated dictatorship risks death by growing potatoes. An official in a world of water wars tortures a man dehumanised by thirst.

Mouthful, a set of six playlets at London’s Trafalgar Studios, offers pungent glimpses — some bleakly comic, some harrowing — of food crises real and potential. It joins a spate of films — including the documentaries 10 Billion and Land Grabbing — and books re-examining the issues to ask how and why hunger still haunts us, after decades of humanitarian and scientific effort, and enshrinement in the Millennium Development Goals.

Some 795 million people remain malnourished, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization. But globally, the complexities of food production, distribution and consumption create another kind of havoc. The World Health Organization notes that over 600 million adults are obese. Humanity’s relationship with food has become intractably tangled in tandem with population growth, globalisation, economic inequities, and technological changes such as factory farming and food processing. We swim in a bouillabaisse of biotech agribusiness, threatened crop biodiversity, rising food prices, and a vast tonnage of wasted food.

Alisha Bailey of Metta Theatre in Neil LaBute's drought-ridden dystopia 16 Pounds.

Alisha Bailey of Metta Theatre in Neil LaBute’s drought-ridden dystopia 16 Pounds.{credit}Richard Davenport{/credit}

Six scientists steeped in the issues collaborated with the six playwrights behind Mouthful. Thus Tim Benton,  champion of the UK Global Food Security programme, teamed up with renowned film director and writer Neil LaBute for his drought-bound dystopia 16 Pounds (Benton also helped hammer out issues explored by all the plays). Lydia Adetunji, whose trenchant Bread on the Table picks at the link between food commodification and the Middle East food riots, worked with plant breeder Molly Jahn. The researchers were sounding boards and fact checkers, ensuring assertions were evidence-based, and suggesting real-world concerns as dramatic inspiration.

These joint ventures are a world away from Duncan Macmillan’s recent 2071. Essentially a lecture on climate change by climate scientist Chris Rapley, that play drew fire from many critics for its bald didacticism. Mouthful gets its multiple messages across via the expressive skill of the Metta Theatre ensemble (whose four members play all the roles) and director Poppy Burton-Morgan. Interludes by artistic director William Reynolds deliver quantification — projections of data and brief videos — but at so rapid a pace it was hard to get more than an impression of the facts.

And that made me wonder how someone new to them might experience Mouthful. Where the drama in 2071 is meant to emanate from the science alone, here theatrical skill is the weight-bearing element. Certainly, the performances are superb, particularly Doña Croll’s as, in turn, a commodity broker’s client, a Fulani farmer and a biodiversity activist, and Robert Hands’s as a starving Tunisian — and a giant insect in the interval revue Try Me, a paean to entomophagy.

Mouthful is best at taking humanity’s botched attempts to feed itself to their logical conclusions, and at showing with some subtlety the interlinkages between conflict, corporate greed and hunger. It is politicised, but that is inevitable given the economic inequalities that are the worm at the core of this unwieldy problem.

Feeding the billions

10 Billion covers much of the same territory as Mouthful. But the film’s dramatic tension is sparked by the friction between extremes — top-down, lab-bound, big-money solutions alternating with bottom-up experiments and experiences. While the dichotomy and development paradigms are familiar, the director — environmental journalist Valentin Thurn — gives us a mindboggling range of responses to the food crisis.

The film opens on Thurn munching a deep-fried grasshopper, intoning that apropos of food, “It may not be long before we can’t afford to be picky any more”. It’s a taster for a sometimes queasy tour taking in a Mozambican farmer ejected from her land by soy growers, a panoply of organic farmers, the scientific advisor to a high-tech Japanese lettuce factory, the director of a vast industrial chicken production business in India, Canadian researchers genetically modifying salmon, “in vitro meat” engineer Mark Post and many others. These individuals become unique windows on the often baffling world of ‘global food’.

Thurn makes no secret of his disdain for agribusiness. This is muckraking of a serious type, and that some of his interviewees are hoist with their own petard is in the nature of documentary-making. Thurn does, however, milk the visual contrast between the researchers and farmers. The technicians in lab coats under artificial light seem shot with a slo-mo surreality, giving their work an alien, claustrophobic feel in stark contrast to that of the farmers in sunny fields full of scurrying livestock.

B. Soundararajan of Indian company Suguna Poutry Farm, featured in 10 Billion.

B. Soundararajan of Indian company Suguna Poutry Farm, featured in 10 Billion.{credit}Prokino 2015{/credit}

Again like Mouthful, 10 Billion is strongest in its revelations of interconnections and tradeoffs. Thurn shows how vast multitudes of factory-farmed chickens mean more soy fields in Africa to feed them, and how food commodities speculation in Chicago can cause the price of staple crops to fluctuate in scores of poor countries. He is unimpressed by the idea — propounded by Jim Rogers, founder of the Rogers International Commodity Index — that high food prices benefit farmers, arguing that profits often circulate solely within the commodities market.

His point that small farmers can, by becoming self-sufficient, opt out of the global system entirely is hardly novel, but the case studies are salutary. Malawian Fanny Nanjiwa, for instance, intercrops pigeon peas, cabbage and cassava to keep her food supply resilient. Across the world in Wisconsin, basketball veteran Will Allen boosts urban community food security through Growing Power. The venture features intensive vermicomposting and ‘aquaponics’, a closed system neatly meshing fish farming with food cropping.

A highlight is Thurn’s look at Indian landraces. Many of these indigenous crop varieties, having evolved under highly variable local conditions, are very hardy; and there is a resurgence of interest in them. We see Kusrum Misra, an ebullient Balasore-based seed collector, touring conservation fields preserving over 700 varieties of rice resistant to salt, flooding and drought.

Small farmers in Cambodia who were forced off the land, featured in Land Grabbing.

Small farmers in Cambodia who were forced off the land, featured in Land Grabbing.{credit}Wolfgang Thaler{/credit}

One wonders what Misra would make of Jes Tarp. Chairman of a company called Asian Global Management, he is shown gazing proudly over a rippling monoculture soy field saying, “two years ago, this looked like that” as he points to a nearby forest. Tarp, however, is not pushing people off the land — a now worldwide phenomenon. The Austrian documentary Land Grabbing by Kurt Langbain and Christian Brüser graphically reveals the cost of this practice in Cambodia, Romania, Sierra Leone and Ethiopia.

And it is high. Western demand for the crops fuelling our lifestyle — sugarcane for sugar and ethanol, oil palms for the saturated vegetable oil used increasingly in everything from lipstick to sweets — is met in part by companies operating in poverty-stricken countries. Land Grabbing explores that relationship in depth, and clarifies the extent of savannah and rainforest clearances that make way for vast plantations, and the siphoning off of water supplies. As entire villages can be burnt, bulldozed or simply divested of cropland in the process, social stability can be lost along with biodiversity and scarce resources.

Land Grabbing is a film less orchestrated than 10 Billion, and the better for it. Martin Hausling — a German farmer-turned-MEP in the European Parliament for the Greens  — does provide some context, notably on the links between European Union subsidies and evictions of hundreds of thousands of small farmers in Cambodia, which have been amply reported elsewhere. But on the whole we parse for ourselves the pronouncements of an agribusiness consultant fired up by palm-oil profits (a hefty $40 million per 10,000 hectares a year), World Bank advisors thrilled by opportunities for agricultural entrepreneurship in Africa, ethanol producers — and farmers traumatised by the grabs.

Vegetable picker Alemgema Alemayoh, featured in Land Grabbing.

Vegetable picker Alemgema Alemayoh, featured in Land Grabbing.{credit}Wolfgang Thaler{/credit}

And it is the people working the land who speak loudest. I was struck by two of the Ethiopians interviewed. One, Alemgema Alemayoh, picks peppers and tomatoes in a vast, foreign-run greenhouse whose produce is airlifted to five-star restaurants in Saudi Arabia. (The Ethiopian government, we are told, offers investors the lease of 3.6 million hectares of land at 5 euros a hectare per year.) She has never tasted these vegetables; she and her six children live on maize.

The other is Gebreyesus Tesfay. Under a government project helping small farmers improve soils, compost, intercrop and row-plant the grain teff, Tesfay is shown cultivating his land with a magnificent brace of oxen and a formidable handmade plough. Before, he says, they starved. Now they plant vegetables three times a year and are secure, although it is obviously still a tough life. As with Nanjiwa and Allen, self-sufficiency enlightened by the best of tradition and of small-scale science can work, if bad governance and skewed economics are held at bay.

Gebreyesus Tesfay on his farm in Ethiopia, featured in Land Grabbing.

Gebreyesus Tesfay on his farm in Ethiopia, featured in Land Grabbing.{credit}Wolfgang Thaler{/credit}

Globally, small farms number half a billion and support an estimated 2.5 billion people. They are, as these plays and films reveal, vulnerable; but they are centrally important as bulwarks against hunger. Meanwhile, the West’s demand for crammed supermarket aisles seems largely decoupled from a full understanding of the human dramas behind all that bounty. If tackling hunger is a ‘war’, it’s fought on many fronts; and it is winnable only if, in addition to appropriate technologies and sustainable innovation, richer societies fully grasp the politics that complicate this fraught issue.

 

See here for a Nature Podcast on Mouthful. For Nature’s full coverage of science in culture, visit www.nature.com/news/booksandarts.

Radio and science

At a ‘Career Day’ meet in Bangalore last week, I was asked by a young scientist from the National Centre for Biological Sciences (NCBS) why there were not enough people communicating science in India’s national language Hindi. I had a ready answer for that (I get that question a lot of times from well meaning souls). And the answer is: it makes sense when you ask the same question in the context of Chinese or Japanese or for countries where science is done in regional languages. In India, the language of science happens to be English, for historic reasons. And even if you passed out of a Hindi medium school (or for that matter in any other regional language) and wanted to pursue science, nine out of ten chances you would have to switch to English.

So the question that follows is: who would be the takers, the audience of such communication then? Without a significant audience (and thus commerce) why would a publishing house think of a Hindi science communication venture that runs the risk of being in the red from the word go? [Having said that, here‘s a more optimistic piece that goes beyond the commerce of regional science communication and weighs its merit.]

Someone from the audience had the expected sequel question ready, “What about radio?” Yes, that’s a tried and tested medium — put to very good use by the All India Radio and BBC Hindi Radio to popularise science, primarily agricultural science in rural India. I have loved doing regional language radio trying to relate tough scientific terms to a Hindi audience [though I must admit I have fumbled to find the Hindi equivalent for terms like “cross-pollination” at times].

Prime Minister Narendra Modi says agriculture scientists must take to the radio to reach out to farmers.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi says agriculture scientists must take to the radio to reach out to farmers.{credit}PIB{/credit}

Therefore, today when Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged hundreds of agricultural scientists at the 86th Foundation Day celebration of the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) to make use of good, old radio to take science from ‘lab to land’, it rang a bell. Modi said agricultural colleges should start their own radio stations. Farmers listen to radio a lot and young agricultural scientists in these colleges kicking off new radio programmes would benefit the farmers immensely, the Prime Minister suggested.

Science-savvy Modi, who began his stint in the high chair a couple of months back flagging off a satellite launch vehicle and consulting scientists of all hues from day one, also called for creation of a digitized database of agricultural research in the country. He sought to link the young, educated and progressive farmers of India with agricultural research scholars saying they could form a powerful talent pool.

Farming in India is mostly inherited across generations and so it is difficult to change agricultural practices overnight. Modi said something science communicators often say — that it would be useful for scientists to explain the efficacy of a particular practice or initiative in language the farmer can understand. Agricultural scientists could play a big role in conveying the impact of changes in climate, water and soil to farmers.

While we are at it, I am taken back to a 1955 communication by British science writer Ritchie Calder, Member of the Council of the British Association for the Advancement of Science. In the article written for UNESCO, Calder summarises the role of a scientist in popularising science through radio thus:

Calder

{credit}UNESCO{/credit}

We might well be heralding an era of a structured science communication and outreach programme in this country, with scientists and the radio at the heart of it all.

Indigenous shrimp brood stock to boost exports

An RGCA brood stock centre. Inset: L. Vannamei

An RGCA brood stock centre. Inset: L. Vannamei{credit}RGCA{/credit}

India released a specific pathogen free variety of shrimp for commercial aquaculture today. This promises to help marginal shrimp farmers and boost seafood exports from India.

The brood stock of  the shrimp in question — Litopenaeus vannamei —  have been developed for the first time in India by the Rajiv Gandhi Centre for Aquaculture (RGCA) in Tamil Nadu. These can now be supplied to hatchery operators at competitive prices, according to a government release. These selectively bred mother shrimps can produce high quality shrimp seed that grow fast and survive well in commercial shrimp farms in India.

Till now Indian shrimp hatcheries imported such brood stock from centres in  USA, Thailand and Singapore incurring high shipping costs and massive transit losses. The average cost of brood stock was estimated at Rs. 5000. This also prompted some hatcheries to source brood stock from shrimp ponds which ultimately resulted in the production of poor quality seeds and subsequent crop loss to farmers.

About 80% of India’s shrimp farmers are estimated to be marginal and small scale and the success of their crop largely depends on the quality of seeds.

India’s export of marine products crossed US$ 3.5 billion for the first time in 2011-12 recording a growth of 6.02%. over the previous year. Frozen shrimps are the major export value item accounting for about half of the total US dollar earnings. One of the major reasons for the increase in production and higher export turnover was due to the introduction of L. vannamei shrimp for aquaculture production. However, one of the major obstacles to higher production was the non-availability of quality brood stock in India in the required quantity.

Government sources said this project will help Indian farmers produce 1.35 lakh metric tonnes of additional shrimp for export worth around Rs. 4000 crore per annum by utilizing about 10,000 hectare water spread area for two crops per every year. It will also deliver quality brood stock to shrimp hatcheries.

RGCA, in collaboration with the Oceanic Institute, Hawaii, USA has produced these selectively bred brood stocks that show good maturation/hatchery performance. Though L.vannamei is native to the Pacific coast of central and south America, it is popular among shrimp farmers worldwide due to the availability of selectively bred fast growing improved quality specific pathogen free (SPF) and specific pathogen resistant (SPR) seeds.

Of pesticides and fertilisers

This week saw a lot of talk on safe food, clean environment, pesticides and fertilisers emanating from two events — a conference on food safety and environmental toxins and the release of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) global report “Our Nutrient World”.

The conference — organised by New Delhi based Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) — noted that bio-safety of pesticides was a serious issue for India. It called for policy level intervention to give regulatory powers to either the health or the environment ministries (not the agriculture ministry, which presently regulates).“There is a need to review all registered pesticides taking into account comparative risk assessment and deregister toxic and obsolete pesticides,” said Chandra Bhushan, head of CSE’s food safety programme, in a press release. Organic and non-pesticide farming has been showing encouraging results across the country and the government should encourage them, he noted.

The conference called for publication of an annual report on the status of pesticide contamination in the country.

The UNEP report

The UNEP global Report “Our Nutrient World” co-authored by eminent Indian biotechnologist N. Raghuram took note of India’s constraints in phosphorous mining and urged for a mechanism to recycle human wastes for agriculture through innovative steps like urine-separating toilets.

Raghuram, also the Director of New Delhi-based South Asian Nitrogen Centre, said most of the phosphorous in India is mined from sedimentary rocks with the country accounting  for only 0.19 per cent of the world’s resources. It is mostly low-grade phosphorous not suitable for fertilizer manufacture. That makes India heavily dependent on imports.

Also, large tracts of croplands in India suffer from physico-chemical and nutrient imbalances resulting in low efficiency of applied fertilizer phosphorous. An estimated 4-15 per cent of phosphorous consumed by livestock becomes available for human consumption in the end.

With a population of close to 1.3 billion, India is estimated to release between 0.38-1.02 Tg of phosphorous per annum. Raghuram says the country needs an effective mechanism to recycle human wastes to plough back this phosphorous into agriculture use. It would ensure two things, he says — capturing nutrients and returning them to the soil as well as improved sanitation in the developing world.

Sane thinking all. Hope advocacy like this finds its way into the country’s policy documents.

Borlaug award

This week saw another alumnus of the Presidency College, fondly called the Oxford of the East, do India proud by bagging Rockefeller Foundation’s first ever Borlaug Field Award, which has been constituted to recognise young researchers helping farmers and hungry people around the world through science. Earlier this month string theorist Ashoke Sen, another Presidency product, wowed the world when he was named one among the eight scientists worldwide to receive the three million dollar Fundamental Physics Prize in its first edition.

Presidency College, now Presidency University, counts among its illustrious alumi the famous scientists Jagadish Chandra Bose,  Satyendra Nath Bose, Meghnad Saha and statistician Prasanta Chandra Mahalanobis. Something in the air at this grand institution that breeds such wonderful science and scientists?

Coming back to the young social scientist who influenced policy through her work , after Presidency College, Aditi Mukherji studied at the Jawaharlal Nehru University, Delhi; and the Indian Institute of Technology, Mumbai; and completed a Ph.D degree in Human Geography at the University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Her research on groundwater resources in agriculture has done thousands of farmers in West Bengal a world of good. According to the press release announcing the honour, Mukherji a senior researcher at the International Water Management Institute’s New Delhi office, has surveyed more than 4,000 groundwater users to discover that smallholder farmers in water-abundant eastern India were unable to get water for their irrigation needs due to policy restrictions that actually were made keeping in mind the water scarcity in other parts of the country. She became the voice of the voiceless working closely with farmers and villagers to record their concerns.
Through research and political engagement, she became instrumental in getting two critical policy changes in two years— one to remove a restrictive permit requirement for operating low-power irrigation pumps; and another to reduce the electrification cost to run the pumps. Following these policy changes, the farmers now have easier and more universal access to groundwater for irrigation and will be able to intensify their cropping systems, earn better livelihoods and emerge out of poverty, the award committee noted. Mukherji presented her research to the government convincing them that the situation in water-rich east India was different from other parts of the country facing scarcity and depletion of groundwater.
Mukherji will get the 10,000 dollar award at the World Food Prize international symposium in the US in October.
Here’s raising a toast to the Oxford of the East for nurturing some of the best brains this country has produced!

GM debate

The long-drawn debate over genetically modified (GM) crops in India saw another shocker this week when one of the country’s Parliamentary committees said it was ‘highly disconcerted’ over the pressure being created by the GM industry over the body responsible for approval of GM crops in India (press release). The parliamentary committee smells a ‘collusion of a worst kind’ happening between the approving committee and the industry and has recommended a thorough independent probe into the introduction and subsequent moratorium on Bt. brinjal in India.

In 2008, the Indian Council for Agricultural Research (ICAR) had noted in a report that when lambs were fed with Bt. cotton seeds, the weights of their liver and testicles increased and the WBC in their blood decreased.  The parliamentary committee took note of this and has recommended a professional evaluation of these developments to decide biosafety and health safety aspects of Bt. cotton.

Another interesting observation that the committee makes is that considering India’s rich biodiversity and the irretrievability of transgenic crops released in the environment, any further research and development on transgenics in agricultural crops should only be done in strict containment. Field trials ‘under any garb’ should be a strict no-no. Serious concerns have been raised over the poor policies governing GM crops, absence of a powerful implementing authority, the likely impact of transgenics on agricultural and medicinal crops and labeling of GM products.

The report has met support from independent think tanks and is being seen as a clear indication that the government is waking up to the need for a more broad based debate over introduction of GM crops in India. Sunita Narain, who heads New Delhi-based Centre for Science and Environment says GM technologies need a robust and credible regulatory framework to work in the interest of people and environment. She deposed in front of the Parliamentary committee earlier and believes that this new report paves the way for a more matured debate on GM crops in India.

Hopefully we will have more indigenous R&D and healthier debates to support or trash each move of the government and the industry towards introduction of GM crops in this country.

Farm technology

Climate change has affected farmers in so many ways, it’s difficult to count on your finger tips. The popular view on climate change altering crop patterns, skewing yields and changing regional economies has triggered the interest of most livelihood researchers over the last decade.

Technology will play a key role in ensuring food security.{credit}Photodisc/ImageSource{/credit}

In India, a new grant was announced this week to improve livelihoods and food security of farmers in three states — Punjab, Gujarat and either Bihar or Jharkhand.  These states have a significant stake in India’s overall food security. The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) will award a $1.7 million grant to the Centers for International Projects Trust (CIPT).

The Trust will implement what is being called the ‘Water-Agriculture-Livelihood Security in India’ programme. The grant will be used towards public and private sector collaborations and will look at innovations that ensure better agricultural practices.

The programme will support local farmers set up innovative and integrated water and energy saving technologies and practices thereby trying to ensure better yields and incomes for farmers. It will look at  introducing best practices in groundwater management,  improving water and energy policies.

Partners in this programme include state governments, agricultural universities and research institutes, the Indian Council for Agricultural Research, Columbia University in the US, and agri-businesses.

The key to the success of such programmes will be empowering  farmers with technology. As father of India’s Green Revolution M. S. Swaminathan argues in this article in Nature India: “This impending food crisis can be solved to some extent if we can turn the small and marginal farmers, now eligible for institutional credit, to science and technology based farming methods.”

Hope programmes such as these fall back on technology to create sustainable models that last a while and not end with a couple of yields.

Green revolution 2.0

{credit}Photodisc/Photoalto{/credit}

An interesting article published in a review magazine of International Centre for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA) discusses the feasibility of a second green revolution in India this week. Ram Badan Singh,  president of the country’s National Academy of Agricultural Sciences feels the signs for another big bang in Indian agriculture are encouraging. “Gross capital formation in agriculture, as a percentage of agricultural GDP, increased from 12% in 2004-05 to 22% in 2010-11. Investment in agriculture has increased by 30% in recent years,” he points out.

The first green revolution in the 1960s and ‘70s  catapulted India into becoming the second largest agricultural producer of the world. Though its second version might still be some years away, Singh says most experts feel its only a matter of time.

Of course, it would mean research integration, private investments and policy changes. Singh contends that the first green revolution involved a lot of environmental costs by way of unsustainable groundwater extraction, fertilizer run-off, pesticide residues and salinization. The priority was to resolve food shortages, and environmental issues were poorly understood. “Today we have a clearer understanding of how to monitor, control – even reverse – land and water degradation. We also have technologies that can increase yields without damaging the environment. These technologies are the key to a second Green Revolution,” he writes.

In trying to reach closer to the next big thing in Indian agriculture, technology will play a vital role, says Monkombu Sambasivan Swaminathan, the man credited for bringing about the first green revolution. The challenge would also be to bridge the rich-poor divide in technology, he says in this article in Nature India.

It would be worth watching policy changes and private participation in agriculute in the coming years to find out if the optimism surrounding Green Revolution II is real.