Turning web traffic into citations

Our June editorial discusses the relationship between web traffic and citations. Specifically, can one predict how well any particular paper is cited years after publication, based solely on the number of downloads it receives immediately following its appearance online? Our preliminary analysis suggests that this relationship not only exists, but is surprisingly strong.

I’ll leave you to read the editorial for more of the background as to why we examined this relationship, but I will repeat a few keys things here. The main purpose of this post is to provide more of the details behind the data and analysis, and to initiate a good discussion.

Continue reading

NN Joins Neuroscience Peer Review Consortium

When the community is overburdened by peer review, it’s everybody’s problem. As of today, Nature Neuroscience has become part of the solution by joining the Neuroscience Peer Review Consortium, a flexible system that allows voluntary participation by authors, referees and editors. Here are more details, from our April editorial:

Continue reading

Denying AIDS

My New Yorker mag arrived Monday with an article about a topic that’s all too familiar to us, here at Nature Medicine. Science reporter Michael Specter wrote about AIDS denialists — or dissenters as they like to call themselves — who say either that HIV does not cause AIDS or that antiretroviral drugs do more harm than good, and that most scientists are in the pockets of the pharmaceutical industry. That last bit may be debatable, but to us and to everyone we consider credible, there’s no doubt that HIV causes AIDS or that antiretroviral drugs are safe.

I’m happy the New Yorker gave this urgent and deeply troubling issue some much-needed attention, but I’m a bit disappointed with its tepid tone. If you get through the whole article — and I suppose many of the magazine’s readers do — you come away with the feeling that the denialists are certainly wrong. But the first few pages give so much space to Peter Duesberg, the most famous denialist, and to the potential benefits of South Africa’s traditional medicines that you might almost be tempted to think these people have a fair point. After all, who among us hasn’t thought that scientists can be too harsh on those who don’t agree with the reigning hypothesis or that they don’t pay enough attention to traditional therapies?

But this is not your average scientific disagreement. There is NO question that HIV causes AIDS and to follow the “he said-she said” school of journalism in this case, strikes me as tame and… well, I’ll leave it there. I hope the New Yorker piece goes some way to repairing the damage caused last year by an article in Harper’s by dissenter Celia Farber.

For our part, we’ve covered the resurgence of denialists and the activities, in particular, of one Matthias Rath, who markets multivitamins as a cure for AIDS. Scientists and AIDS activists have sued the South African government and Rath for conducting trials of the so-called vitamin cures.

These denialists like to distort scientists’ own statements to support their theories and have even misappropriated sentences from one of our scientific reports, which we explicitly countered in an editorial last year after the Harper’s piece appeared. And we hope more of the mainstream press steps up to cover this issue.

Update: We have decided not to accept any more comments on this post, as the discussion between the two camps is not productive. We don’t want this blog to perpetuate a discussion that has already received too much attention

Stretching science’s implications

You might have seen the New York Times article yesterday so delightfully called “”https://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/25/science/25sheep.html?em&ex=1169960400&en=83a8a0ffb7f393f8&ei=5087%0A">Of gay sheep, modern science and bad publicity." In case the article has disappeared into the archive by the time you read this, briefly, it was a rather funny cautionary tale about a scientist who set out to study homosexuality in sheep, made one too many comments about the possible implications in people, and ended up getting skewered by the press and the blogosphere, who thought the point of his research was eventually to alter people’s sexuality.

I was particularly struck by a comment that the scientist, Charles Roselli made.

Mentioning human implications, he said, is “in the nature of the way we write our grants” and talk to reporters. Scientists who do basic research find themselves in a bind, he said, adding, “We have been forced to draw connections in a way that we can justify our research.”

As a reporter, I’m guilty of this myself. Drawing human conenctions makes the story more accessible and it’s an easy, if cheap, way of drawing the reader in. Even in my previous life as a scientist, I had an American Heart Association grant although my thesis, on lipid transport, was classic cell biology and had little to do with heart disease. That’s where the money was, and so that’s how we wrote the grant.

But all and said done, it is dishonest, isn’t it? Is Roselli right? Is the system so warped now that we have to lie about human implications to justify working on important, but obscure, questions in science? Have you done it?

Optimism for the new year — and that too from scientists!

Happy new year, everyone!

Our former intern, Emily Waltz, alerted me to Edge.org, where 160 scientists and thinkers — including Nature‘s own news & features editor Oliver Morton — have answered the question, “What are you optimistic about?” You’d think that a bunch of scientists would have little to say that’s uplifting — especially in areas such as, say, climate change, cancer or population growth — and a few live up to that expectation, but some of the answers are downright upbeat.

Here’s a small sampling:

I am optimistic that the ascendance of open access postings of articles to the internet will transform scientific and medical publishing.” — Beatrice Golomb, professor of medicine, University of California San Diego

I am bullish about the mind’s ability to unravel the beliefs contained within it—including beliefs about its own nature.” — Mahzarin Banaji, Richard Clarke Cabot Professor of Social Ethics, Harvard University

I’m optimistic about the prospects for science to become a much more broadly participatory activity rather than today’s largely spectator sport.” Neil Gershenfeld, MIT

The trends in China and India and elsewhere toward educating literally millions of people with scientific, engineering and technical degrees is tremendously positive.” — Nathan Myrhvold, CEO of Intellectual Ventures

I am optimistic about humanity’s coming enlightenment.” — Larry Sanger, co-founder of Wikipedia

But would it really be a group of scientists if at least one didn’t say something along these lines?

In short, we should neither be too despondent nor too elated at the trajectory of current events.” — Robert Trivers, evolutionary biologist, Rutgers University.

So tell us — what are you most optimistic about???

Waxing nostalgic about 2006

Yes, yes, I know, it’s not quite over yet. But for us here at Nature Medicine, it already feels like the new year because we’re busy putting together our January issue.

December, and with it 2006, is history for us. But to bid the year a proper farewell, we’ve compiled the year’s best, worst and most ridiculous moments. We’ve given out awards in the style of American high school yearbooks, charted a timeline of events, highlighted the absurdity of some things in numbers and asked scientists what they thought made the biggest difference in 2006—and what they think might happen in 2007.

The fun all begins here.